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Exploration and Production in México: Challenges and Opportunities*

By

Alfredo E. Guzmán1

Search and Discovery Article #10022 (2001)

*Adaptation of presentation by Mr. Guzmán to Houston Geological Society and AAPG Prospect & Property Expo (APPEX), August 28, 2001. The PDF images of this article preserve the visual part of Mr. Guzmán’s presentation, and that version has independent search capabilities. Please NOTE that a click on a map or image where the cursor is represented by the hand with the pointed index finger will present an enlargement of the map or image; similarly a click on a cross section or seismic presentation will result in an enlargement of the desired feature.

1Exploration Strategies Coordinator,  Pemex Exploracion y Produccion ([email protected])

 

tConclusions

tBackground

tFigures 1-8

tChallenges

tFigures 9-12

tOpportunities

tFigures 13-14

wOpportunities in gas

wFigures 15-25

wOpportunities in light oil

wFigures 26-33

wOpportunities in heavy oil

wFigures 34-36

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

tConclusions

tBackground

tFigures 1-8

tChallenges

tFigures 9-12

tOpportunities

tFigures 13-14

wOpportunities in gas

wFigures 15-25

wOpportunities in light oil

wFigures 26-33

wOpportunities in heavy oil

wFigures 34-36

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

tConclusions

tBackground

tFigures 1-8

tChallenges

tFigures 9-12

tOpportunities

tFigures 13-14

wOpportunities in gas

wFigures 15-25

wOpportunities in light oil

wFigures 26-33

wOpportunities in heavy oil

wFigures 34-36

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

tConclusions

tBackground

tFigures 1-8

tChallenges

tFigures 9-12

tOpportunities

tFigures 13-14

wOpportunities in gas

wFigures 15-25

wOpportunities in light oil

wFigures 26-33

wOpportunities in heavy oil

wFigures 34-36

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

tConclusions

tBackground

tFigures 1-8

tChallenges

tFigures 9-12

tOpportunities

tFigures 13-14

wOpportunities in gas

wFigures 15-25

wOpportunities in light oil

wFigures 26-33

wOpportunities in heavy oil

wFigures 34-36

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

tConclusions

tBackground

tFigures 1-8

tChallenges

tFigures 9-12

tOpportunities

tFigures 13-14

wOpportunities in gas

wFigures 15-25

wOpportunities in light oil

wFigures 26-33

wOpportunities in heavy oil

wFigures 34-36

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

tConclusions

tBackground

tFigures 1-8

tChallenges

tFigures 9-12

tOpportunities

tFigures 13-14

wOpportunities in gas

wFigures 15-25

wOpportunities in light oil

wFigures 26-33

wOpportunities in heavy oil

wFigures 34-36

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

tConclusions

tBackground

tFigures 1-8

tChallenges

tFigures 9-12

tOpportunities

tFigures 13-14

wOpportunities in gas

wFigures 15-25

wOpportunities in light oil

wFigures 26-33

wOpportunities in heavy oil

wFigures 34-36

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

tConclusions

tBackground

tFigures 1-8

tChallenges

tFigures 9-12

tOpportunities

tFigures 13-14

wOpportunities in gas

wFigures 15-25

wOpportunities in light oil

wFigures 26-33

wOpportunities in heavy oil

wFigures 34-36

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

tConclusions

tBackground

tFigures 1-8

tChallenges

tFigures 9-12

tOpportunities

tFigures 13-14

wOpportunities in gas

wFigures 15-25

wOpportunities in light oil

wFigures 26-33

wOpportunities in heavy oil

wFigures 34-36

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

tConclusions

tBackground

tFigures 1-8

tChallenges

tFigures 9-12

tOpportunities

tFigures 13-14

wOpportunities in gas

wFigures 15-25

wOpportunities in light oil

wFigures 26-33

wOpportunities in heavy oil

wFigures 34-36

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

tConclusions

tBackground

tFigures 1-8

tChallenges

tFigures 9-12

tOpportunities

tFigures 13-14

wOpportunities in gas

wFigures 15-25

wOpportunities in light oil

wFigures 26-33

wOpportunities in heavy oil

wFigures 34-36

Conclusions 

Low levels of investment in E&P in México in recent years have resulted in:

  • Deficiency in gas

  • Critical situation for light oil
  • Declining scenario for heavy oil

Pemex has built a large portfolio of upstream opportunities; nevertheless it lacks mostly capital to generate value from them.

In order to benefit from these opportunities Pemex has been incurring in onerous debt; so now it is considering: 

  • Opening to operators to participate, within the present legal framework, in all phases of the E&P value chain. Some of these projects will require financing from the participants. This scheme will begin with gas projects. 

  • The Ministry of Energy will soon be negotiating with Congress an initiative to allow full  private participation in the E&P of non-associated gas.  

Pemex will not be privatized.

Background (Figures 1-8)

Figure 1. Discovered hydrocarbons in México (01/ 01/ 01).

 

 

Figure 2. Reserves bboe (01/01/01).

 

 

Figure 3. Crude oil production (mbod).

 

 

Figure 4. Natural gas production (mmscfd).

 

 

Figure 5. Sales revenues 1995 - 2000 (US$B).

 

 

Figure 6. Pemex E & P capital investment 1977 - 2001 (US$B).

 

 

Figure 7. Pemex E & P income and taxes (US$B).

 

 

Figure 8. Crude oil production costs (USD/B).

 

 

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Challenges (Figures 9-12)

Fulfill the growing gas demand.

Reverse the decline in light oil production.

Maintain the heavy oil production.

 

Figure 9. Gas Production 2001 - 2010 (bcfd).

 

 

Figure 10. Natural gas demand 2000 - 2009 (bcfd).

 

 

Figure 11. Light oil production vs export demand (MBOD).

 

 

Figure 12. Oil Production 2001 - 2010 (mbod).

 

 

Opportunities

Where are the opportunities? The basins are shown in Figure 13, and the locations of 2462 opportunities are plotted in Figure 14.

 

Figure 13. Oil and gas basins of México.

 

 

Productive basins/provinces

1) Sabinas

2) Burgos

3) Tampico

4) Misantla

5) Veracruz

6) Southeastern

a) Salina del Istmo

b) Reforma - Comalcalco

c) Macuspana

d) Litoral de Tabasco

e) Sonda de Campeche

Non-productive basins/provinces

Mid - high potential

7) Sierra Madre Oriental

8) Deep Gulf of México

Low potential

9) Sierra de Chiapas

10) California

11) Golfo de California

12) Chihuahua

 

Figure 14. Exploration opportunities--2462 opportunities.

 

 

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Opportunities in Gas (Figures 15-25)

Exploration of Sabinas – Tamaulipas (Figure 15)

Development of Burgos (Figures 16, 17)

Exploration of offshore Burgos (Figures 18, 19, 20)

Exploration of the Sierra Madre Oriental foothills (Figure 21)

Exploration and development of:

Figure 15. Sabinas basin – Tamaulipas platform. Challenge: Rejuvenate production, 38 opportunities.

 

 

95,000 km2

Dry gas, since 1974

Cumulative production: 374 bcf

15 fields, 1 active (Merced)

Reserves: 84 bcf

26,600 km 2D seismic 

Remnant potential evaluation (2001)

Figure 16. Burgos basin, 257 opportunities.

 

 

 

72,40 km2 (including offshore)

Contiguous to Rio Grande embayment

194 fields, 84 active

Cumulative Production: 6.5 tcf (since 1945)

Reserves: 6.9 tcf

Figure 17. Burgos basin. Challenge: Increase production beyond 1.4 bcfd.

 

 

Pemex’s rejuvenation program 1994-2004:

  • Acquisition of 12,000 km2 3D

  • 360 exploratory and 3600+ development wells

  • New facilities

  • 4.3 tcf of new reserves

 

Figure 18. Burgos basin contiguous areas. There are 95 opportunities identified; the challenge is to have enough resources to invest in the exploration and development. 

 

Figure 19. Burgos basin contiguous areas.  Example: Delta Bravo.

 

 

Figure 20. Burgos basin contiguous areas. Example: Lamprea.

 

 

Figure 21. Sierra Madre Oriental foothills, 44 opportunities.

 

 

 

Mesozoic folded thrustbelt

Gas and light oil

1960’s undeveloped discoveries

High risk – medium potential

Cusiana analogy

Figure 22. Veracruz basin, 204 opportunities.

 

 

 

22,000km2 (including offshore)

Buried Mesozoic folded thrustbelt

  • Heavy – medium oil / sour gas

  • 12 fields, 88 mmbo and 739 bcf cumulative

Tertiary foredeep

  • Dry sweet gas

  • 7 fields, 157 bcf cumulative

Rejuvenation program (2000 – 2004)

  • 3,280 km2 3D & 4,100 km 2D seismic

  • 53 exploratory and 254 development wells

  • Increase output to 400 mmpcfd (from 160 mmpcfd)

 

Figure 23. Playuela – Cocuite area.

 

Figure 24. Macuspana province, 225 opportunities.

 

 

 

13,000 km2

39 fields, 13 active

Cumulative production: 5.32 tcf

Reserves: 1.79 tcf

Daily output: 137 mmcf (720 mcf, 1975)

Rejuvenation (2000-2004)

  • 1,062 km2 3D seismic

  • 65 exploratory wells

  • 107 development wells

  • 700 mmcfd (onshore)

Figure 25. Litoral de Tabasco province, 151 opportunities.

 

 

 

7,400 km2

4,500 km2 3D seismic

16 fields, 3 active

Cumulative Production: 131 mmbo, 278 bcf

Reserves: 1.9 bbo, 3.7 tcf

Daily output: 80 mb, 171 mmcf

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Opportunities in Light Oil (Figures 26-33)

Secondary and enhanced oil recovery

Exploration of offshore Tampico (Figures 26, 27)

Development of Chicontepec (Figure 28)

Exploration of Salina del Istmo (Figure 29)

Exploration of the Tertiary in Reforma - Comalacalco (Figure 30)

Exploration and development of Litoral de Tabasco (Figure 31)

Deep GOM basin (light oil?) (Figures 32, 33)

Enhanced oil recovery projects--Additional recovery: 3.8 billion barrels oil equivalent. Capital expenditures: US$ 5.5 billion 

  • Arenque

  • Ek – Balam

  • Och

  • Kax

  • Artesa

  • Bermúdez Complex

  • Jujo- Tecominocán

  • Jacinto

 

Figure 26. Tampico - Misantla basin. Opportunities are in mature fields optimization and in exploration (mostly offshore).

 

 

50,000 km2 (including offshore)

Provinces:

  • Ébano- Pánuco, 1904 (Cumulative production > 1,300 mmboe)

  • Golden Lane, 1908 (Cumulative production > 3,900 mmboe)

  • Chicontepec Paleocanyon

Daily output: 77,350 bod (600,000 in 1921)

Reserves: 1,571 mmboe (w/o Chicontepec)

 

Figure 27. Tampico - Misantla basin: Geologic settings for Jurassic test (Espicula-1) and for Miocene test (Lankahuasa-1).

 

Figure 28. Chicontepec. Opportunities are in a highly efficient development.

 

 

 

Paleocene - early Eocene foredeep turbidites

OOIP: 139,480.3 mmb

OGIP: 49.5 mm mmpc

Reserves: 13,762 mmb, 26.2 tcf

Cumulative production: 142 mmboe

Light oil in northern sectors

Figure 29. Salina del Istmo province, 302 opportunities.

 

 

 

15,300 km2

52 fields, 26 active

Cumulative Production: 1,613 mmbo, 1.94 tcf

Reserves: 743 mmbo, 696 bcf

Daily output: 33.3 mbo, 44 mmcf

Figure 30. Comalacalco – Chiapas – Tabasco province, 225 opportunities.

 

 

 

13,100 km²

1,574km² 3D seismic

75 fields, 57 active

Cumulative Production: 6.6 bbo, 16 tcf

Reserves: 4.9 bbo, 15 tcf

Daily output: 549 mbo, 1.8 bcf

Figure 31. Litoral de Tabasco province. In light oil the opportunities are in the development of 13 fields and the testing of at least 40 prospects.

 

 

16 fields, 3 active

Cumulative production: 131 mmbo, 278 bcf

Reserves: 1.9 bbo, 3.7 tcf

Daily output: 80 mb, 171 mmcf

Figure 32. Deep Gulf of México basin, 192 opportunities.

 

 

530,200 km2 ( > 200 m)

34,000 km 2D seismic

1,362 km2 3D seismic

Provinces:

1 Río Bravo Delta

2 Allochthonous Salt Belt

3 Perdido Folded Belt

4 Extension Belt

5 Mexican Cordillera

6 Deep Gulf saline

7 Campeche Scarp

8 Veracruz Canyon

9 Abyssal Plain

Enormous potential - High risk

Technology dependency

Mid to long term

Major capital-expenditure requirements

 

Figure 33. Deep Gulf of México basin. Examples of geologic setting.

 

 

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Opportunities in Heavy Oil (Figures 34, 35, 36)

Optimization of onshore Tampico (Figure 34)

Development - optimization of Ku - Maalob - Zaap

Exploration of the Sihil play

Figure 34. Tampico - Misantla basin.

 

 

Provinces:

  • Ébano- Pánuco, 1904 (Cumulative production > 1,300 mmboe)

  • Golden Lane, 1908 (Cumulative production > 3,900 mmboe)

  • Chicontepec Paleocanyon 

Daily output: 77,350 bod (600,000 in 1921)

Reserves: 1,571 mmboe (w/o Chicontepec)

Figure 35. Sonda de Campeche province, 184 opportunities.

 

 

15,500 km2, 3D seismic 100%

24 fields, 18 active

Cumulative Production: 12.9 bbo, 7.9 tcf,

Reserves: 19.9 bbo, 11.4 tcf

Daily output: 1.995 mmbo, 799 mmcf

Figure 36. Sonda de Campeche province; interpretive seismic section, along with the cross section through Cantarell field shown in Figure 35.

 

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